Kentucky average gas price begins to decline after record climb

September 30, 2019  /  Ted Cox

Average price for a gallon of unleaded in the 
Commonwealth dropped 12 cents week over week

LEXINGTON, Ky. — After leading the country with the largest week-over-week rise in average gas price, Kentuckians have seen the average gas price decline. The average price for a gallon of regular unleaded in the Commonwealth dropped 12 cents week over week to land at $2.41. That’s 5 cents higher than a month ago, but still 33 cents less than a year ago.

Lexington’s average gas price jumped a quarter immediately following attacks on two Saudi Arabian oil facilities in mid-September, but average prices in the city have now dropped to $2.36 compared with $2.53 just a week ago.

While the national average may have only decreased by 2 cents on the week, 10 states saw pump prices decline by a nickel or more. Today’s national gas price average of $2.65 is 7 cents more expensive than last month, but 23 cents cheaper than a year ago.

“Crude oil prices have dropped close to where they were right before the drone attacks on the Saudi oil facilities,” said Lori Weaver Hawkins, public and government affairs, AAA Blue Grass. “This is helping to push gas prices cheaper in most of the country. Americans can expect this trend to continue, except for those filling-up on the West Coast, where refinery disruptions are causing spikes at the pump, with California seeing the largest spike at plus 28 cents.”

Quick stats across the nation

  • The nation’s top 10 largest weekly changes are: California (+29 cents), Ohio (-15 cents), Nevada (+13 cents), Michigan (-12 cents), Kentucky (-12 cents), Illinois (-10 cents), Delaware (-9 cents), Indiana (-7 cents), Iowa (-7 cents) and Minnesota (-6 cents).

  • The nation’s top 10 least expensive markets are: Louisiana ($2.30), Mississippi ($2.30), South Carolina ($2.32), Arkansas ($2.32), Alabama ($2.33), Texas ($2.35), Virginia ($2.35), Oklahoma ($2.35), Missouri ($2.36) and Tennessee ($2.37).   

Central U.S. prices are down at the pump
Motorists in the Great Lakes and Central States saw some of the largest pump price drops on the week with Ohio (-15 cents), Michigan (-12 cents), Kentucky (-12 cents), Illinois (-9 cents), Indiana (-7 cents), Iowa (-7 cents) and Minnesota (-6 cents) all landing on the top 10 list for largest weekly declines. All states in the region saw prices decline by at least two cents since last Monday.

Gas price averages in the region range from $2.36 - $2.72. Illinois carries the most expensive average, which ranks as the 12thhighest in the country. Missouri touts the cheapest state average in the region, which is the 9th least expensive in the country.

Gasoline stocks drew down to 50.9 million barrels, which is a 1.5 million barrel year-over-year deficit. Stock levels could continue to decline. The latest EIA data shows the regional refinery utilization dropped 4% to 92% for the week ending Sept. 20. This combination could cause some fluctuation in gas prices in the week ahead, potentially pushing gas prices more expensive.

Oil market dynamics
At the close of Friday’s formal trading session on the NYMEX, WTI decreased by 50 cents to settle at $55.91. Oil prices were mostly mixed last week after EIA’s weekly report revealed that total domestic crude inventories grew by 2.4 million barrels, bringing the total 419.5 million bbl. The current level is 23.5 million barrels higher than where it was at this time last year. The higher level has kept prices in check as concerns that global crude demand may be impacted by the ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China.

Additionally, crude prices have also been shaken as a result of market concerns that global supply could be reduced due to escalating tension in the Middle East. Crude prices increased moderately last week after the U.S. Department of Defense said it would deploy radar systems, Patriot missiles and about two hundred personnel to bolster Saudi Arabia’s defenses after an attack on two of its oil facilities earlier this month. If EIA’s report shows another crude inventory build, crude prices could end the week down. However, any escalation in the U.S.-China trade war or tensions in the Middle East could see them spike.

Motorists can use AAA Mobile app for current gas prices
Motorists can find current gas prices along their route with the free AAA Mobile app for iPhone, iPad and Android. The app can also be used to map a route, find discounts, book a hotel and access AAA roadside assistance. Learn more at AAA.com/mobile.